Work Sample — Travel & Hospitality

The Mask Mandate Has Been a Headache for Travel Brands, and Here's How Consumers Feel About It

Matthew Howe, Travel Intelligence Analyst, unpacks consumer sentiment toward mandatory face coverings while traveling.

MASK SENTIMENT
Illustrative graphic — placeholder pending final art
April 2022 · 4 min read
High-frequency survey research shows that allowing the federal mask mandate on planes to expire on April 18 may be a tad premature: Most consumers, including those who plan to travel soon, want the mandate to remain in place, although support appears to be weakening.

Travel brands are keen to bring back consumers this spring and summer, but they say they face a major obstacle: the federal mask mandate.

Enforcing the mandate amid the ongoing pandemic has proven to be a challenge for air crews, resulting in flight disruptions, increased air rage and even the assault of flight attendants.

Industry leaders want the rule lifted. In a letter to the Biden administration, CEOs of industry trade association Airlines for America and a number of air carriers — including Delta Air Lines Inc., American Airlines Inc., United Airlines Inc. and Southwest Airlines Co. — called for ending mask mandates on planes, saying the "science clearly supports" eliminating the rule. Pilots and flight attendants are also pressing for the end of the mandate, which is set to expire April 18, through lawsuits aimed at the federal government.

Our monthly survey research shows consumer support for air travel mask mandates is waning, but a majority still back them — including anticipated travelers.

At least 3 in 5 U.S. adults back rules requiring customers and employees to wear masks when on an airplane. Those who plan to travel in the next three months are more likely to support such mandates.

Support for Masking Mandates Continues to Decline
Share of respondents who said travel & hospitality companies should "probably" or "definitely" require masks
Require employees wear masks — all adults Require customers wear masks — all adults Require employees wear masks — travelers Require customers wear masks — travelers
Oct '21 Nov '21 Dec '21 Jan '22 Feb '22 Mar '22
Source: original survey research. Underlying data available upon request.

But these figures have slipped: General support for requiring customers to wear face coverings has dropped 11 percentage points since January 2022, while backing for an employee mask mandate has dropped 9 points during that time. If these trends continue, support will remain above 50% in April.

Comfort with flying keeps climbing, but a new variant could change that

The travel industry has reached an interesting inflection point. Vaccines are widely available for those who want them and consumers know what to expect from brands in terms of health and safety. Americans are more interested in personal choice than mandates and prescribed personal responsibility.

The one curveball is, of course, a new variant, given that omicron has already stagnated consumer comfort levels.

Share of U.S. adults who said they feel comfortable doing the following right now
Weekly surveys, March 2021 – March 2022
Flying domestically Flying on an airplane Flying internationally
Mar '21 May '21 Jul '21 Sep '21 Nov '21 Jan '22 Mar '22
Source: original survey research. Underlying data available upon request.

But the COVID-19 pandemic has shown that predicting the future is often impossible, and that the revived city mask mandates brought on by delta and omicron are often difficult to enforce.

While support for masking requirements for both consumers and workers has declined precipitously in recent months, we believe travel brands should wait and see what the impact of Covid BA.2 is before eliminating mandates. Another option is adopting virus spread or hospitalization metrics that, if surpassed, would trigger the reinstatement of masking requirements. Both of these potential approaches are sensitive to traveler comfort and responsive to the changing safety environment.

Matthew Howe
Matthew Howe
Travel Intelligence Analyst

Originally published April 2022. Presented here as a work sample — layout and charts have been recreated for this page.